Risk Sleuth
MRNA · 10-K filed 20 Feb 2026 · year to 31 Dec 2025

Moderna

37 named things its latest annual report says its results depend on, each in the company's own words. 20 of them are also named by other companies we've read.

Customers

Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA)

earns from · approximately $1.8 billion
The maximum award from BARDA, inclusive of all amendments, was approximately $1.8 billion.Business (Item 1)

Also named by DHR

Government of the United Kingdom

earns from
These facilities were fully licensed in 2025, and the government in each of these countries has entered into a multi-year commitment to purchase mRNA products from us.Business (Item 1)

Government of Canada

earns from
In 2026, we expect to drive revenue growth from the annualized impact of our long-term partnerships in the UK, Canada and Australia, as well as continued strong uptake of mNEXSPIKE in the U.S.Business (Item 1)

Government of Australia

earns from
In 2026, we expect to drive revenue growth from the annualized impact of our long-term partnerships in the UK, Canada and Australia, as well as continued strong uptake of mNEXSPIKE in the U.S.Business (Item 1)

Suppliers

Cellscript and mRNA RiboTherapeutics (Penn Modified mRNA Patents)

depends on · low single digits
The Cellscript-MRT Agreements require us to pay royalties based on annual net sales of licensed products at rates in the low single digits for therapeutic, prophylactic, and diagnostic uses, and royalties based on annual net sales of licensed products sold for research uses at rates in the mid-single digits, subject to certain reductions, with an aggregate minimum floor.Business (Item 1)

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)

depends on · low-to-mid single-digit royalties
Pursuant to the agreement, we have agreed to pay tiered, low-to-mid single-digit royalties on net sales of our RSV vaccine, a minimum annual royalty payment, and certain contingent development, regulatory and commercial milestone payments on a licensed product-by-licensed product basis.Business (Item 1)

Contract manufacturing organizations (CMOs)

depends onnamed as a risk
In the past, our third-party contract manufacturers experienced lot failures resulting in product recalls of our COVID vaccine.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by GEHC, GILD, IONS, ZTS

Partners and platforms

Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI)

depends on · up to $54.3 million
In December 2025, CEPI agreed to invest up to $54.3 million to support a pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial that aims to help advance our investigational mRNA-based H5 pandemic influenza vaccine candidate, mRNA-1018, to licensure.Business (Item 1)

OpenAI (ChatGPT Enterprise)

depends on
In 2024, our AI culture led to the deployment across the company of ChatGPT Enterprise and its enhanced capabilities such as Advanced Analytics, Image Generation and GPTs.Business (Item 1)

Also named by AMD, COMP, CRWV, HOOD, MSFT, NVDA, NYT, PVH and 3 more

Merck

depends on
Pursuant to the PCV Agreement, we and Merck will collaborate on further development and commercialization of mRNA-4157, and we will share costs and any profits and losses worldwide related to mRNA-4157 equally.Business (Item 1)

Also named by EXEL, LGND

Recordati

depends on
We will continue to lead the clinical development of mRNA-3927 through approval and Recordati will lead commercialization.Business (Item 1)

Also named by LGND

Blackstone Life Sciences

depends on
Consequently, we announced that we were planning to start a confirmatory vaccine efficacy study, P304, funded by project financing through Blackstone Life Sciences, a collaboration we announced in 2024.Business (Item 1)

Vertex Pharmaceuticals

depends on
We are collaborating with Vertex on our CF candidate, mRNA-3692/VX-522, which is designed to treat the underlying cause of CF by enabling cells in the lungs to produce functional CFTR protein for the treatment of the over 5,000 patients who do not produce any modulator-responsive CFTR protein.Business (Item 1)

Other companies

Ares Capital Corporation

depends on · $600 million outstandingnamed as a risk
A failure to comply with the covenants in our credit agreement with lenders led by Ares Capital Corporation, as administrative agent, could result in an event of default, which, if not cured or waived, could have a material, adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by ARES, TEM

Competitors

Pfizer

competes withnamed as a risk
We compete with larger, well-established and experienced pharmaceutical companies for sales of our products, including against Pfizer and Sanofi for sales of our COVID vaccines and Pfizer and GSK for our RSV vaccine.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by BMY, VTRS, ZTS

Sanofi

competes withnamed as a risk
We compete with larger, well-established and experienced pharmaceutical companies for sales of our products, including against Pfizer and Sanofi for sales of our COVID vaccines and Pfizer and GSK for our RSV vaccine.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by ARWR, LGND, REGN

BioNTech

competes withnamed as a risk
We largely compete against Pfizer and BioNTech for sales of our COVID vaccines, whose vaccine is also based on mRNA technology.Business (Item 1)

Also named by BMY, PFE

GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)

competes withnamed as a risk
With respect to our RSV vaccine, we compete against Pfizer and GlaxoSmithKline, who entered the U.S. market prior to us, and our RSV sales have been minimal to date.Business (Item 1)

Also named by ARWR, TEM

Novavax

competes withnamed as a risk
We also compete against other vaccines, including Sanofi and Novavax’s.Business (Item 1)

Places

United States

concentrated innamed as a risk
The commercial markets for these vaccines are seasonal and characterized, particularly in the U.S. (our largest market), by a fragmented end customer base, unpredictability in orders and seasonality of deliveries.Business (Item 1)

Also named by ABBV, ADP, AJG, AMGN, APA, AXGN, AXP, BALL and 139 more

Marlborough, Massachusetts

operates innamed as a risk
We have purpose-built our facility in Marlborough, Massachusetts for intismeran, and it may encounter difficulties or it take longer than anticipated to scale up the facility to meet future commercial demand, if intismeran is approved.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Norwood, Massachusetts (Moderna Technology Center)

operates in
We have built a dedicated in-house, multi-building manufacturing campus in Norwood, Massachusetts, the Moderna Technology Center (MTC).Business (Item 1)

Commodities and inputs

Term SOFR

exposed to its price · up to $1.5 billionnamed as a risk
In November 2025, we entered into a variable-rate Credit Agreement providing for borrowings of up to $1.5 billion, under which outstanding amounts bear interest at rates based on Term SOFR plus a margin of 5.50% or a base rate plus a margin of 4.50%, at our option.Market risk (Item 7A)

Also named by BWIN, CLH, DORM, DPZ, DY, ECG, HUBB, IBP and 9 more

Foreign currencies (Canadian dollar, Euro, Korean won, Mexican peso)

exposed to its price · approximately 27% of our revenuenamed as a risk
For the year ended December 31, 2025, approximately 27% of our revenue was denominated in foreign currencies, although our revenue generating activities and operations continued to be primarily denominated in U.S. dollars.Market risk (Item 7A)

Also named by ADSK, BR, ENTG, EXPE, MGNI, ON, SYK, UAL and 1 more

Single-source raw materials and excipients

depends onnamed as a risk
We utilize a number of raw materials and excipients that may have a single source of supply, are new to the pharmaceutical industry and are being employed in a novel manner.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Regulators

U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)

subject tonamed as a risk
For example, recent FDA policy updates regarding COVID vaccine approvals and the evidence expected for certain populations could require additional clinical data or trials to support broader indications, delay approvals or supplemental applications, or result in more limited labeled populations, which could adversely affect the timing and scope of commercialization for our COVID vaccines, including updated or variant-adapted formulations.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by A, ABBV, ABT, AMGN, ARE, ARWR, ATR, AXGN and 112 more

European Commission

named as a risk
Additionally, we have been excluded from selling our COVID vaccines in many European markets due to a competitor’s contract with the European Commission, which does not lapse until year-end 2026.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by AAPL, BKNG, CCK, FWONA, IONS, KRYS, META, TEX and 1 more

Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP)

subject tonamed as a risk
For example, changes in FDA regulatory policies, post-marketing safety monitoring, and evidentiary expectations, as well as CDC and Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommendations regarding eligibility, target populations, and vaccination practices, may have affected and may continue to affect demand for our vaccines.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by PFE

Laws and programs

Inflation Reduction Act of 2022

subject tonamed as a risk
Additionally, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 includes provisions, such as drug pricing controls and Medicare redesign, that have begun to be implemented and are likely to impact our business, but its ultimate effect on our business and the healthcare industry in general is not yet known.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by ABBV, APD, ARE, BKH, DD, DHR, ELV, ENPH and 30 more

Most-favored-nation drug pricing executive order

subject tonamed as a risk
MFN pricing models in the U.S. could also affect our international pricing strategy and future decisions on reimbursement and commercialization in certain jurisdictions.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by ARWR, HALO, INCY, REGN

Rare pediatric disease priority review voucher program

subject tonamed as a risk
Although we have obtained rare pediatric disease designation for mRNA-3927, we may not be eligible to receive a priority review voucher in the event the FDA determines we no longer meet the criteria for designation, revokes the designation or FDA approval does not occur by September 30, 2029.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by IONS, KRYS

Bayh-Dole Act

subject tonamed as a risk
Any exercise of the march-in rights by the U.S. government could harm our competitive position, business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Also named by OKLO

Public Readiness and Emergency Preparedness Act (PREP Act)

subject tonamed as a risk
However, if the Secretary of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services were to revoke or materially modify the declaration underlying such PREP Act coverage, or if our COVID vaccine is not successfully transitioned to the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (VICP), our COVID vaccine could become subject to significantly greater product liability exposure in the United States.Risk factors (Item 1A)

National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (VICP)

subject tonamed as a risk
In addition, any significant changes to, or overhaul of, the VICP could increase our potential liability exposure.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Canada drug importation (FDA rule / Florida)

subject tonamed as a risk
In January 2024, the FDA approved Florida’s request to import certain lower-priced medications from Canada.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Gavi COVAX Advance Market Commitment

named as a risk
For example, in March 2022, we announced that we will not enforce our patents for COVID vaccines against companies manufacturing in or for the Gavi COVAX Advance Market Commitment (AMC) countries, provided that the manufactured vaccines are solely for use in the AMC 92 countries.Risk factors (Item 1A)

Technology

Cold-chain logistics

depends onnamed as a risk
Further, if we or third-party distributors do not maintain effective cold-chain supply logistics required for certain of our products and product candidates, products may be returned, become out-of-date or be rendered unusable.Risk factors (Item 1A)